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Research Progress

Scientists Reveal the Missing Link in Carbon Accounting

Jul 31, 2016

According to the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), agriculture and land-use change account for about 24% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions. Climate change has strong impacts on food security in the long-term. Therefore agriculture needs to reduce its climate footprint.

A recent study jointly conducted by XU Jianchu’s group at Kunming Institute of Botany of Chinese Academy of Sciences, and researchers at World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) and institutions from Africa, Asia and Europe has shown that the crop and livestock production have limited potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, while large forest areas, primarily in the tropics, are still being converted into agricultural land to feed the world's growing population. For these reasons, agricultural practices that can significantly reduce carbon emissions are in high demand.

Remote sensing data show that in 2010, 43% of all agricultural land globally had at least 10% tree cover, up from eight percent in the preceding decade,” said Robert ZOMER from ICRAF, lead author of the study. “Given the vast amount of land under agriculture, agroforestry may already have significantly contributed to global carbon budgets.”

However, regional differences in the trend are significant. The distribution of tree cover on agricultural land depends on climatic conditions in different parts of the world. High tree cover is found in humid areas such as South East Asia, Central America, eastern South America, as well as central and coastal West Africa. Tree cover on agricultural land was moderate in south Asia, sub-humid Africa, central and western Europe, the Amazonia and mid-west North America. On the other hand, low tree cover was found in east China, northwest India, west Asia, the southern border of the Sahara Desert, the prairies of North America and southwest Australia.

“Study results show that existing tree cover makes a major contribution to carbon pools on agricultural land, demonstrating the potential to add to climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts,” said Prof. XU Jianshu. “If tree cover is accounted for, the total carbon stock is over four times higher than when estimated using IPCC tier 1 estimates alone.”

The study entitled “Global Tree Cover and Biomass Carbon on Agricultural Land: The contribution of agroforestry to global and national carbon budgets” has been published in Scientific Reports.

This study was supported by National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2014CB954100).

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